2:00 |
![]() |
2:02 |
![]() |
2:02 |
![]() |
2:03 |
babbganoush: Thoughts on Manoah getting shelled by 17 yo kids?
|
2:05 |
![]() |
2:06 |
Harry: Give me a concern level on Giancarlo Stanton? Historically a streaky guy so I tend to believe everyone should take a breather. Rumblings of a trade across town has to be the craziest thing I’ve seen.
|
2:10 |
![]() I can’t imagine anyone trading for him right now, but I don’t think this is the end for him by any means |
2:10 |
Dan in Toronto: Hi Jay, which 3 AL teams will make the playoffs as Wild Cards this year?
|
2:12 |
![]() |
2:12 |
Sammy So-so: Do you know if the much shorter games this season have had an effect on viewership numbers and attendance? Are the games just more enjoyable to those of us who were watching anyway, or has the quicker pace of play begun to attract new fans? Thanks as always, Jay.
|
2:16 |
![]() |
2:17 |
Eric: If the Dodgers pitching struggles continue, what’s the best team in the NL West?
|
2:21 |
![]() |
2:22 |
Mt Elden: Vlad Jr is currently 17th in WAR among qualified 1B and late last week was like 13th in wRC+. Was that 2021 season where he posted superstar numbers an aberration and is he more likely to just be a good player going forward?
|
2:24 |
![]() |
2:25 |
OCody Bellinger: What type of deal do you think I’m looking at in the offseason?
|
2:26 |
![]() |
2:26 |
Henry: Now that we’ve seen Acuña return to pre-injury production levels, what’s your confidence level in him winding up in Cooperstown?
|
2:27 |
![]() |
2:28 |
FannyGraphy: Hello, is there any way to look up stats for a Starting Rotation only? Not an entire pitching staff? Like if you wanted to see what team had the best rotation season ever?
|
2:29 |
![]() |
2:29 |
![]() ![]() |
2:32 |
Guest: Thoughts on ROS outlook for Freddy Peralta and Cristian Javier? I’m in a 12 team league with QS. Looking at Mackenzie Gore, Lance Lynn, and Alex Cobb as potential pickups on the wire.
|
2:33 |
![]() |
2:35 |
ADHD+: I see a lot of talk about launch angles when it comes to Jordan Walker. I’m still getting familiar with launch angles/batted ball statistics, so in your opinion what would be an ideal launch angle for Walker based on his hitting profile?
|
2:38 |
Matt: Do you think the phillies will make the playoffs?
|
2:38 |
![]() |
2:38 |
Byron Denniston: How was Cape Cod? Catch any CCBL action?
|
2:39 |
![]() |
2:41 |
![]() |
2:41 |
Byron Denniston: Why don’t the Cardinals just trade Goldschmidt and move Walker to 1B?
|
2:42 |
![]() |
2:43 |
Byron Denniston: Wth is going on with Moniak?
|
2:44 |
![]() |
2:44 |
Nick: What do you think is the most predicting stat for a Pitcher in Single A to be successful in the MLB?
|
2:44 |
![]() |
2:44 |
warpath: I’m moving to Philly next month, any experience or tips for a baseball fan in the city?
|
2:45 |
![]() |
2:45 |
![]() |
2:45 |
James: How many more years of 2-way greatness ensure Ohtani a hall of fame spot? Say he maintains this pace for 2 more seasons and then is league average for the next 5 years, is he in?
|
2:51 |
![]() |
2:52 |
Joaquim: Hi Jay. Help my dodger fan friends and I settle a debate: who’s the scariest WC opponent between Miami, SF and SD?
|
2:52 |
![]() |
2:52 |
Nervous Flyball Pitcher: As writers, how do you feel when you publish an article, and then data that shows up immediately afterwards refutes your argument? Either data that undermines your original assertion(s), or new observations altogether?
|
2:54 |
![]() |
2:55 |
![]() |
2:56 |
Buttered Muffins: Can the Mets just use this disaster of a season to enhance their chances of signing Ohtani by trading XYZ player(s) and their contracts away while keeping a competitive core intact?
|
2:58 |
![]() |
2:59 |
Condor: I know it’s unlikely Ohtani would sign, but why couldn’t the Orioles put together the best free agent pitch? With a ton of cost-controlled talent, a rising team, and the DH slot open for many years due to all that youth, almost no other team could “afford” Ohtani like the Orioles. Consistently beating the Yanks and Red Sox in their division would also do wonders for his legacy. Thoughts?
|
3:01 |
![]() |
3:01 |
Guest: There appears to be about 18ish of 30 teams in contention for a playoff spot and we’re almost to the All-Star Break. Plus it seems unlikely teams like the Padres and Cardinals will sell. Who are FOR SURE sellers and what is even for sale?
|
3:04 |
![]() |
3:04 |
mac: the yankees’ player dev is completely inscrutable to me, for hitters in particular. with one 6’7 exception, they seem to get lauded for their system but produce so few above-average enduring MLB-caliber regulars that they’re left with an old, injury-prone lineup of mid-30s veterans all trending downwards. is there one fatal flaw in their approach, is the next crop of prospects likely to fare any better than clint frazier and justus sheffield, or is it time to clean house and install a much more modern crew who weren’t appointed when a Bush was in the white house?
|
3:04 |
![]() |
3:05 |
![]() |
3:10 |
![]() |
3:11 |
Jake: Do you think a knuckleballer will ever be able to make it as a full time big leaguer again? Or is the peak now an up/down spot start guy, like Waldron or Jannis
|
3:11 |
![]() |
3:12 |
Trevor: Do you have a favorite minor league club?
|
3:14 |
![]() |
3:14 |
emarkaye: With Manfred putting his foot in his mouth (yet again) concerning the A’s potential relocation (plus his Time interview and bringing up his work with the *Astros), has anything done by MLB (commissioner, administration, teams, owners) put a significant dent in your love for the sport? It’s a business, yes, but at some point with the publicly funded stadiums and the leadership talking out of both sides of its mouth and how teams are happy to turn a blind eye with Caribbean youths to save a buck (never mind the ad creep everywhere), has your passion went up, stayed the same, or went down since you were a kid?
|
3:16 |
![]() |
3:17 |
Aussie M’s Fan: What are King Felix’s chances for HOF? I feel like his peak was worthy but may have dropped off too quickly. Thanks
|
3:17 |
![]() |
3:20 |
![]() |
3:20 |
Jake S: No real question, just wanted to share that I recently finished The Summer Game by Roger Angell. Delightful, as expected, but especially interesting to read about his thoughts on expansion and team movement in the current context of the Athletics. Sometimes it feels like the current ownership situation is unique to now but his words on the Senators and westward expansion/movement could fit right in to a FanGraphs post today.
|
3:20 |
![]() |
3:21 |
Murph: The Reds are projected by FanGraphs to have the 3rd-worst run differential in the NL ROS. Do you think that is in the right ballpark?
|
3:22 |
![]() |
3:22 |
Yo-Yo: Re: Walker, he was considered to be a surprisingly okay third baseman for his size. I’m assuming he could make the switch to first, but I’m not aware how hard the switch from third to first is.
|
3:23 |
![]() |
3:23 |
Moose: What do you make of Patrick Bailey’s inability to hit from the RH side in the minors turning into a legit asset in the majors? Already has 3 MLB hrs from that side, after only 2 at all levels in the minors
|
3:26 |
![]() |
3:26 |
Mike: If the Angels make the playoffs, why is it so sure Ohtani is leaving?
|
3:27 |
![]() |
3:27 |
emh: What would it take for the HOF to open their doors to Bill James? Is it possible under the current rules or would they have to change the rules?
|
3:30 |
![]() |
3:32 |
![]() Your “new statistics” hurt the game. It’s not equal. Baseball is in trouble. That wasn’t the case before people who have done nothing in this sport had a say about how it’s played
The people who don’t pay any attention to the “old” baseball statistics (Wins, RBI, Batting Average) are exactly like the people who won’t pay any attention to the new statistics. They just parked on the other side of the road, that’s all. 13 Jun 2023 |
3:32 |
WinTwins0410: Jay, I enjoyed your series on S-JAWS and pitchers from various decades. Did you ever conclude that series, or is that something you’ll get back to? IE, I don’t recall seeing articles involving pitchers born in the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s, but maybe I just missed those? Thank you for doing those — the ones I read were both entertaining and informative.
|
3:34 |
![]() |
3:34 |
marmol: You seem pretty sure the red hot Cubs will be sellers. Winners of 11 of their last 14, rotation and bullpen both looking as good as they have all season…. idk.
|
3:35 |
![]() |
3:36 |
Jerry Buchek: Did STL lock themselves into two albatross contracts in one offseason, especially for a team whose payrolls haven’t kept pace with the league in awhile? Arenado’s defensive drop in one year has to be historic.
|
3:37 |
![]() |
3:37 |
Guest: Hi Jay – thoughts on the Pirates? Are they building towards something or spinning their wheels?
|
3:39 |
![]() |
3:39 |
Krusty: Question re. Ohtani for JAWS/WAR/HOF-y type stuff: WAR might-maybe-even-probably does underrate him by a few runs or perhaps a bit more (depending on how you value that 26th roster spot, the 13/13 pitcher/position player caps, etc.)
Obviously, actual IRL Ohtani’s HOF candidacy probably isn’t going to turn on whatever this turns out to be over the course of his career, but… that could compile over a 15+ year career to a meaningful number of wins, no? Does that rate as important for you? Or is it just a one-off? So, I’m curious what your #take on this is, re. how it impacts how you handle him, how JAWS might handle him, his candidacy, etc? (And apologies for yet another Ohtani question) |
3:43 |
![]() |
3:43 |
Tel: When you’re getting ready for a chat do you open a few key reference sites that you use frequently so you can look up numbers quickly? I saw the King Felix question and your response pop up in real time and was surprised at first when the initial response didn’t have the JAWS numbers in it (before the second part put them in) Then I thought – well, I can’t expect him to know all those numbers off the top of his head.
|
3:44 |
![]() |
3:45 |
![]() |
3:45 |
![]() |
Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe… and Mastodon @jay_jaffe.